Daily Forex technical analysis for the major pairs Based On The Elliott Waves Principle Combined with Various Technical Indicators And Fundamentals
Wednesday, July 7, 2010
Trade Closure
After the trend reversed to took out our position with 35 Pips profit , i m moving out of the AUD.USD and going into the chart the holds the clearest Elliott waves setup in all pairs ,,, CAD.JPY , as its shown on the chart , it holds a clear 4th wave triangle with the 5th wave to go soon ,, the risk is very good defined here on the chart as i cant see the price noise that i see in the AUD EUR and the complex correction there , the risk will be limited to a break up from the pattern at 83.80 , the break of the bottom confirms this count and signals the start of wave 5 , first target is 80.50 .
a very important notice on the chart is that wave 1 is bigger than wave 3 so wave 5 cant be bigger than wave 3 as that will make wave 3 the smallest in this wave and that will invalidate the count ,, so i ll be cautious on taking out profit as early as possible .
the trade is ,,, short half position at 83
second half at 83.35 , stops 83.90 first take profit at 80.60
its very common that wave E ends before the test of the triangle upper line and thats why i m building this position before that test , and if i see a break of the 82 level i might jump in with a short ,, stay alerted to my twitter
GL
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