Daily Forex technical analysis for the major pairs Based On The Elliott Waves Principle Combined with Various Technical Indicators And Fundamentals
Tuesday, June 29, 2010
Chart Update AUD.JPY
After this fast move down in the Risk as i warned in previous charts , i warned as well that it ll be so fast to catch and it went down with more than 250 pips with ZERO bounce , i was lucky to get in on the break of the 77.65-70 level as i shown in previous charts. i hope that everyone got it right and made some green pips out of this good move , the good news is that this is not the end of it ,, i can see now the end of wave 1 of wave 3 down which has formed an ending diagonal as shown in the chart.
as i speak now its testing the upper resistance of this pattern and breaking it , i m showing in the chart the 3 resistance levels i m watching closely for an entry to ride this beast down again , first one comes up in 75.80-76.25 , and that's the 4th wave bottom and top and the 38% ret. then the 76.60-70 level which is a very solid resistance and then the final line of defense is 77 level which i find it very unlikely to break or even test.
i recommend building a short position at this levels , i ll go half position at 76.25 then add the second half accordingly , maybe at 76.60 or at the break of the low
if the trend didn't go up to test this levels and just go break the low from here , i don't recommend selling before the trend at least hits 75.80 and then breaks the low cause the RSI is very deep in the oversold area and it needs a relief before it can grab a momentum for another fall.
so the plan is ,, building short position at this shown levels , short at the break of the low only after the price tests the first resistance level.
goodluck all
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