Sunday, October 31, 2010

Thursday, October 28, 2010

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

EURUSD Chart Daily Update


Unless the bottom is broken , i m looking at 2 possible scenarios where the yesterdays low might be the end of wave 4 with wave 5 on the way now , or the 4th wave has 2 more legs to go to form wave D & E and more consolidation before it breaks higher .

EURUSD CHart

AUDUSD Chart

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

EURUSD & $I


Friday, October 1, 2010

AUD.USD Chart Update



2H & 30M AUD.USD Chart

Tuesday, September 28, 2010

AUD.USD Chart Update



Here is the 2H and 15MIN Chart update for the AUD.USD

Thursday, September 23, 2010

Saturday, September 11, 2010

Weekend Technical analysis (S&P500 , $I , AUD , EUR , CAD)







Hello Traders
this weekend charts will be very important as the markets started to recover a bit from the summer long choppiness and offer some volatility which i expect to last till November before we get into the holidays seasons thin liquidity again.

-- (( S&P 500 ))

FIRST thing i wanna look at is the Equities charts , as shown in the chart attached here that the s&p 500 looking like its forming an ending diagonal pattern which might break down very soon , notice also that the momentum is fading from this rally and its signaling at least a short term correction will be on the way very soon which will be correspondent with the other scenarios i ll go through with the EUR AUD charts .
i m expecting a spike into the top of this pattern and a reversal into the support zone shown on the chart and then the trend will decide if it ll bounce and start a new leg up or it ll break through the support zone and maybe into a new low , i m not concerned with what it ll do by then as i m looking into the medium and short term moves here to setup my EUR And Possible AUD next trade ,so the long term is not my concern for now . (( make sure u click on the chart to maximize it and read all the details written on it ))

--- (( Dollar Index ))
As shown in the chart we could be in wave 3 up already but the quike rejection off the 83 level might suggest that we still in wave 2 correction which will take the trend to wave c down before a bounce .

--- (( AUD.USD ))
After the correction that took it down into the test of the trend line then bounced into a head and shoulder pattern which took Affect after it break up from the neCkline as shown in the Chart and warned about it few days back on the twitter , the price achieved 161% Fib Ext. of this head and shoulders pattern.
currently the Aussie looking pretty much like the S&P 500 chart and The scenario i reviewed , the trend is getting weaker and weaker and the momentum is fading as it approaches the resistance zone which lies between the 161% - 200% FIB EXT. of this H&S Pattern and the yearly highs at 0.9385 , i dont see a break up from the resistance zone i shown on the chart between 93-9380 without at least a correction lower , which corresponds with a correction lower in the equities as shown in the previous review.

---- (( EUR.USD ))
i m looking into 2 possible scenarios here in the Eur

-First sceanrio ,as shown in the chart , the Eur might have completed a 5 waves down from the top into the 1.2650 area and that bounce up is into wave 2 which already finished A % B phase and going into the C wave final push up into the resistance zone shown on the chart before reversal , a test of the 1.277 level will validate this count , and this count is also correspondent with the final push up in equities scenario and the Aussie push up into resistance zone scenario i reviewed earlier in this post

- Second scenario , as shown in the chart , puts us into wave 3 down already as we might have finished wave 1 and 2 and into wave 3 of 3 down already , as far as the top at 1.2765 isn't violated , then this count is in play although i m still more into the first scenario but an immidate weakness is very possible too

i attached another eur chart which shows the current consolidation similar to what we witnessed before and that EUR bases dont form in such patterns and a break down is very expected


as both scenarios pointing down but within different time intervals , i ll be looking to short of the resistance area between 1.2780-1.2820 and target a break down , if the trend breaks down immediately , i ll be looking to short and bounce up to take advantage of this wave 3 down .

---- (( CAD.USD ))
i rarely setup a trade on that pair as its daily chart looking so choppy and consolidation took place for long time now and no clear trend is identified there , but what i found interesting is that i might wanna take a trade into this consolidation by buying into the strong support zone as shown in the chart and sell into the range top as shown on the chart too .

I welcome ur comments and Questions :)